Friday, February 27, 2009

Between the Client & the Cloud

The anticipated success of the cloud ignores one basic fact of computing: Power migrates to the periphery. As our computers and networked devices become more powerful, what will we do with that surplus capacity? Do we really expect software to disappear, leaving Web-based services connected to increasingly powerful browser terminals?

The future of computing connects the client and the cloud. There will surely be continued growth in Web services. But there will also be software and local data that reside at the periphery, not encumbered by a browser or the need for a constant internet connection.




© Joel E. Allen 2009. All Rights Reserved

Tuesday, February 21, 2006

I Backup Religiously. Now I'm really lost!

OK. I have got it figured out. I am one of the chosen 25% who backup on a regular basis. And I am among the 1/2 of users who do it properly. That's right folks. I am part of that 12.5% of the technical elite. People that have data, and protect it!

So let me tell you how this works. I create a new file...say a Word file called mom1.doc. I then backup that file every night to a remote web-based storage company called iBackup.com. Works like a champ. And the world is good. I stand in the hallway at my office with legs apart, hands on my hips, head held high because I am Master of My Data! Some folks chuckle when they walk by, but I am strong and persevere.

You know what happens after about 7 days? I go on a trip and take my laptop. Now I am doing my important work and I realize I need mom1.doc. No problem because it is stored at iBackup and I can access that data from any PC. So I login, download the file, and make some changes. The world is good.

So now, I travel back to my office after a week on the beach with sand and sun and a little to much Rum. I am still Master of My Data and it is good. Make file, backup everyday. Be happy.

Now it's Thursday and I need that mom1.doc file. No problem, I can get it...because...a...see I backup so I know it's safe...not sure which version...I made a change on my laptop...but there is a copy on my office PC...Did I replace the iBackup copy with the laptop changes...CRAP!!! CRAP!!! CRAP!!!

I no longer stand in the middle of the hallway like superman. I hide at the water cooler with head hung low, shoulders wrapped forward like a turtle shell. I am no longer Master of My Data. My confidence is gone. The world is not good.

I don't backup any more. Too much trouble. You know what I care about even more than data security? Just finding my files.

They are all on the desktop of my home PC. Hope I don't get a virus.

Joel Allen is president of AllenPort Co., based in Princeton, NJ.

© 2006 All rights reserved

Thursday, October 27, 2005

Google to turn Water into Wine?

Could it be true? In searching through disparate domain name registrations, trademark applications and other state and local filing records, our research team has come across some interesting clues to what may be Google’s biggest effort to date.

This effort may be so massive as to leave their other services, including search, web based email, e-commerce, on-line photos, and everything else in the dust! What are the clues we have uncovered?

Here are a few. Google recently purchase the domain name http://www.water.com/ from a large water bottling distributor. They also just inked a lucrative deal with the wine magazine http://www.wine.com/ for sole and exclusive rights to their name and domain name. Next, an unidentified source in Vatican City has confirmed that an international contingent of intellectual property attorneys have been in intense negotiations with the Executive Bishop of the Catholic See. Sources have placed Pope Benedictus XVI personally at those meetings.

Details of those secret meetings are sketchy. However, it can now be confirmed that Google has petitioned the church for Special Dispensation Authority…essentially giving the California based company and it’s Directors divine powers! You heard it here first.

Divine Powers.
Water.com
Wine.com

What can this mean but a revolutionary food and beverage service…and with no cost of goods sold from the same company that brought us Search! We expect to see Google stock reach $6,500.00 per share by the end of trading tomorrow.

Joel Allen is president of AllenPort Co., based in Princeton, NJ.

© 2005 Joel E. Allen. All rights reserved

Tuesday, May 24, 2005

The LAN is a Buggy Whip

Most of us have a LAN (local area network) at the office. But these LAN’s have also become increasingly common in our homes, supporting multiple computers and wireless networking. The LAN offers us fast file transfers, network resources sharing (printing, internet access & file storage) and some security over our local data.

But the LAN has a big problem…it’s that “Local” word. Who wants things local? We aren't local. We travel from city to city, from our houses to our cars, from our offices to God knows where. We need our personal or corporate digital assets everywhere, on any device. Can you think of a digital asset (personal or corporate) that you would not ever want to access outside of the LAN wall? Even my twelve year old can articulate the fleeting nature of that “local” concept. But there must be a good reason to keep these networks local, closed to the outside world...right? Security? File Transfer Speed? Internet Access? Printing?

Well, let's remove security from that benefits list.
  • A survey conducted by Security Wire Digest found that 84 percent of home computer users are concerned about security, but more than three-fourths don't take basic precautions, such as updating antivirus software.” 1
  • A national Harris Interactive survey of 597 computer users conducted for Imation, Corp., reveals: Nearly three out of five personal computer users have lost an electronic file they thought they had sufficiently stored.
  • One in four users frequently back up digital files, even when 85 percent of computer users say they are very concerned about losing important digital data.
  • Thirty-seven percent of the survey's respondents admitted to backing up their files less than once per month.
  • 91% of users have intrusion software (frequently referred to as "spyware" or "sneakware") on their home computers, much of it placed surreptitiously by music or file sharing programs. Despite heavy use of those programs, 94% of users do not know that spyware is often bundled with file sharing programs.
  • Although 76% have some kind of anti-virus software computer, only half of that group has updated their software in the past month. With 250 new viruses released each month, 62% of all broadband users are thus significantly vulnerable.”
  • 41% of users lack any kind of firewall whatsoever, leaving their computer wide open to attack from the Internet.
  • Only 33% have a properly configured and secure firewall, meaning two out of every three broadband homes are not secure” 2

And one other thing. All those mom and pop businesses we hear about that are the underlying engine of our economy…many of them are run by “consumers” and their PC’s are just as screwed up at the office as they are at home. This data shows that consumers and micro businesses should let someone else handle their network and data security, and fast!

What about printing? What happens now that all these wireless laptops are moving around the world? Do we really need to download new printer drivers and configure our laptops every time we want to print to a new location? I hereby command the printing Gods at HP and Xerox to offer a simple to use WAN printer, with some kind of universal print-driver. A simple Universal Print Format to any external I.P. address. You know its coming. And if they're worried about having unsolicited junk printing on our WAN printers, add a password.

So that leaves us with network speed and ubiquitous access. Many believe that these 2 remaining items will be the fuel for the next economic revolution. In fact, they're on the way.
The only thing keeping the LAN alive is the WAN's marginal data transfer speeds. Once WAN data transfer rates increase to 50 megabits per second, that will be the end of the LAN. Transfer speeds in Japan and South Korea are already approaching 10 megabits per second, and this for as low as $20.00 per month.

WI-MAX, also known as 802.16 will offer bandwidths up to 54 megabits / sec with a 50 Km range. This technology is already appearing in cities like New York & Baltimore.
What does this futuristic world look like without a LAN? For consumers, one of the necessary changes will be the liberation of the desktop. The concept of chaining a computer user’s data, software and application settings to a single computer or local network is shortsighted. Our personal computing environment is an asset that must be treated as any other valuable assets...it must be managed, protected and easily available anywhere. Simple, without integration or configuration. Unchained.

The future is about mobility and ubiquitous computing, and there is nothing “Local” about that.

1 Security Wire Digest: October 25, 2002

2 The National Cyber Security Alliance: June 4, 2003

Joel Allen is president of AllenPort Co., based in Princeton, NJ.

© 2005 Joel E. Allen. All rights reserved

Thursday, December 02, 2004

Service-Based Computing

Interesting post from David Hornick regarding Service-Based Computing.

My response follows:

To: David Hornik, August Capital
Re: Walled Gardens At DemoMobile

My company is at the forefront of this Service-Based Computing, and was mentioned by Chris Shipley in her Op-ed to Network World Fusion.

I would like to clarify the difference between Service-Based computing and Web-Based services like Salesforce.com or Quickbooks Online. Web-based services move data between a central database and a browser. Yes, the power is at the core. Yes the data is safe, and accessible from any computer or network device. But web-based services have two limitations; they require a constant network connection and must be accessed through a browser. This platform will surely increase in popularity, but will not eliminate the need for software.

Service-based computing is different. It is a service that mobilizes the entire computing environment (data, software and application settings) for delivery over a network to any device. This computing environment is local to the client, but mirrored to a remote service center where it can be managed, archived and delivered as needed. It is not constrained by the limitations of the browser, nor limited by a need to be constantly connected to the network.

I expect a world where both models are prevalent; service-based computing and web-based services. What is important is that our personal computing environments (data & software) will soon be mobilized...no longer chained to a single computer or network device. Then we can concentrate on the next great opportunity in computing…the management and delivery of our digital assets!

Joel Allen is president of AllenPort Co., based in Princeton, NJ.

© 2005 Joel E. Allen. All rights reserved

Wednesday, December 01, 2004

Dynamic Models Demand Detachment

To: Tom Yager, Technical Director, InfoWorld Test Center
From: Joel Allen, Founder, AllenPort Co.

Re: Your article today http://www.infoworld.com/article/04/11/19/47OPcurve_1.html

I enjoyed your article.

Your comment "Nobody can be allowed to own anything" is interesting, and with regard to computer assets, I agree to an extent. The concept of being liberated from a single computer is old and new, and it must occur in order to accommodate our needs for mobility and security. However, I submit that there is still something that we will "own", and enjoy increased access and control over in the future; that is our digital assets (data, software and application settings).

If our digital assets are remotely mirrored, protected and delivered to any computer or network device, we have not lost ownership of our hardware. We have gained control over the most important assets on the computer...our personal computing environment.

I understand the benefits of web-based services. Companies like Salesforce.com have proven that is a viable business model for certain applications. However, the success of that web-based model ignores one basic fact of computing; power migrates to the periphery. As our computers and network devices become more powerful, what will we do with that surplus power? Do we really expect software to disappear, leaving web based services connected to increasingly powerful browser terminals?

There will surely be growth in the web services field. The power generated by a central service is undeniably valuable to many individuals and companies. But there will also be software. Software that resides at the periphery. Not encumbered by the browser or the need for a constant network connection.

Joel E. Allen

Tuesday, November 09, 2004

Where’s the Power?

In the beginning, there were software companies and they were good…well they were OK. They developed their applications and sold them to a public hungry for tools that justified the purchase of a personal computer that had very little practical use unless you were a coder. How many PC’s were sold because of VisiCalc?

But the world has changed. There are many applications to perform the same basic functions. How many contact managers are there? Spreadsheets? E-mail programs? Do a Google search on “free chess game” or “free 3-d modeling software” and you will be amazed by the number of programs available for download.

The software world must keep up. The days of selling shrink-wrapped software are ending. Software companies are under increasing pressure to differentiate themselves from competitors, and it's not just pricing pressure caused by the emergence of the open-source movement. This pressure to differentiate demands mobility between many disparate machines and devices. It also demands a customer service model that accrues experience, eliminating the "start over" every time we have a problem or question. The software companies must find a way to maintain customer loyalty other than through a familiar graphic interface. What happens when voice recognition becomes commonplace? Imagine the ramifications to your address book or music player when you never need to see the GUI.

The learning curve for many applications is burdensome, and in many cases not worth the extra effort. We can get the basics, but the pain associated with mastering a certain software tool is cumbersome. Even experienced users struggle with uncommon features in regularly used applications. The concept that computer users the world over will continue to figure out a never ending flow of software tools and features is not practical. There must be a direct connection between the application provider and the customer, and I don't mean a third-party help desk in Bangalore. Include software updates and future mobility requirements between different devices into the mix and we are looking at a time of accelerating change for the software industry.

So the power shifts. And just like all power, it naturally migrates to the periphery. This evolution will move the center of power from the software companies to the developers and then ultimately to the users themselves. I submit that the end user will soon have the ultimate power in the software hierarchy. And I further submit this newly empowered software user will have access to those applications anywhere, on any device, with the relevant personal data and settings following seamlessly.

Many people believe this portends a service based computing industry. But how do we reconcile these two seemingly different solutions; the web-services provider with all the power at the core verses having more processing power and storage capacity on our local devices?

The future lies in a merging of these different solutions. There must be a service-based organization connecting to and updating these more powerful peripheral devices. More importantly, the data, application settings and software must be updated and mirrored to those devises seamlessly so that if the network is down or disconnected, those peripheral devices still function; something a web-based services organization cannot offer. This is the true marriage of service-based and stand-alone computing power. It is an application service model with mirroring capabilities. Add that together with disconnected functionality and remote control capabilities and you have the ingredients to save the software industry from itself, and make computing simple for everyone.

Joel Allen is president of AllenPort Co., based in Princeton, NJ.

© 2005 Joel E. Allen. All rights reserved